[Practical evaluation of risk of acute myocardial infarct or sudden death]

A model (a formula) is given to estimate a risk for acute myocardial infarction or sudden death in the next 5 years. This model has been derived by using a logistic function method on the material obtained from a 8.5-year follow-up of males aged 40-59 years who represented a random sample from one of the Moscow districts. Age, duration of smoking, systolic blood pressure, exercise-induced angina, myocardial infarction in his or his familial history were used as a parameter for risk. This formula is proposed to be applied to the risk classification in patients examined and followed by the practitioners and middle-level medical personnel, to the planning and coordination of preventive measures.