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A Psychophysics Paradigm for the Collection and Analysis of Similarity Judgments
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Bayesian inference in two-arm trials using relative belief ratios.

Saman Muthukumarana1, Michael Evans2

  • 1Department of Statistics, University of Manitoba, Manitoba R3T 2N2, Winnipeg, Canada.

Pharmaceutical Statistics
|August 16, 2015
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a Bayesian approach to address inference challenges in two-arm trials. It offers a clear measure of statistical evidence, mitigating subjectivity concerns through prior model checking.

Keywords:
bias induced from a priorchecking for prior-data conflictequivalencemeasuring statistical evidencemodel checkingnoninferiorityrelative belief ratios

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Area of Science:

  • Biostatistics
  • Clinical Trial Methodology
  • Statistical Inference

Background:

  • Existing inference methodologies for two-arm trials face documented difficulties.
  • Bayesian methods are often perceived as subjective, posing challenges in clinical research.
  • Need for robust statistical evidence measures in trial analysis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose an alternative Bayesian approach for inference problems in two-arm trials.
  • To provide an explicit measure of statistical evidence and its strength.
  • To address concerns regarding subjectivity in Bayesian methodologies.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a Bayesian framework for two-arm trial inference.
  • Incorporation of prior model checking to assess bias.
  • Implementation of prior-data conflict checks.

Main Results:

  • The proposed Bayesian approach effectively addresses existing inference difficulties.
  • Provides a quantifiable measure of statistical evidence and its strength.
  • Demonstrates methods to mitigate concerns about prior subjectivity.

Conclusions:

  • The alternative Bayesian approach offers a robust solution for two-arm trial inference.
  • Explicit evidence measures enhance interpretability and reduce subjectivity.
  • Prior checking strategies ensure the reliability of Bayesian analyses in clinical trials.