Multiple causes of death analysis of chronic diseases: the example of diabetes

Ugo Fedeli1, Giacomo Zoppini2, Carlo Alberto Goldoni3

  • 1Epidemiological Department, Veneto Region, Passaggio Gaudenzio 1, Padova (PD), 35131 Italy.

Insights

Multiple causes of death (MCOD) analysis for diabetes reveals higher mortality rates and provides richer insights than single underlying cause of death (UCOD) data. This approach enhances understanding of chronic disease associations.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Medical Statistics

Background:

  • The single underlying cause of death (UCOD) approach simplifies complex mortality pathways.
  • The multiple causes of death (MCOD) method considers all mentioned diseases on death certificates.
  • Diabetes serves as a model to investigate MCOD's utility in understanding mortality patterns and chronic disease associations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate death certification patterns for diabetes using both UCOD and MCOD.
  • To compare mortality figures derived from UCOD versus MCOD for diabetes.
  • To identify factors influencing the mention of diabetes on death certificates and explore MCOD's potential in analyzing chronic disease associations.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of the Veneto Region's mortality archive (2008-2010).
  • Calculation of mortality and proportional mortality rates for diabetes under UCOD and MCOD.
  • Logistic regression to assess associations between diabetes, chronic liver diseases (CLD), and other comorbidities using a subset of known diabetic patients.

Main Results:

  • Diabetes was mentioned in 12.3% of death certificates and as UCOD in 2.9%.
  • MCOD revealed significantly higher mortality rates for diabetes (112.6×10^5) compared to UCOD (26.8×10^5).
  • In known diabetic patients, diabetes was reported in 52.1% (MCOD) versus 13.4% (UCOD), with reporting influenced by comorbidities like circulatory diseases, renal failure, and neoplasms.

Conclusions:

  • MCOD analysis, while more complex, offers a more comprehensive understanding of mortality data compared to UCOD.
  • The study highlights inconsistencies in death certification, particularly regarding diabetes's role as a consequence of other diseases.
  • MCOD is valuable for analyzing the complex interplay between chronic diseases and mortality.
Abstract

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