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Published on: May 22, 2019
Long-Term Mortality and Its Risk Factors in Stroke Survivors
Sara Maria Mathisen1, Ingvild Dalen2, Jan Petter Larsen2
1Department of Neurology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway; The Norwegian Centre for Movement Disorders, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway; Neuroscience Research Group, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway.
Insights
Long-term mortality after stroke is significantly higher than in stroke-free individuals. Low cholesterol, hemoglobin, high homocysteine, and elevated creatinine are key predictors of increased stroke mortality.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Stroke is a leading global cause of death.
- Understanding stroke mortality risk factors is crucial for patient care.
- Limited research exists on long-term mortality post-stroke.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate long-term mortality in acute stroke patients.
- To identify predictive risk factors for long-term mortality after stroke.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1137 acute stroke patients was compared to a matched stroke-free control group.
- Long-term follow-up extended up to 16.4 years.
- Demographic, clinical, and hematological factors were analyzed for their effect on mortality in 1018 patients.
Main Results:
- Stroke patients had a significantly higher mortality rate (51.7%) compared to controls (32.7%) over the study period (HR 2.2).
- At 12 years, 72.5% of stroke patients and 53% of controls had died.
- Independent predictors of increased long-term mortality included age, diabetes, stroke severity, low cholesterol, low hemoglobin, hyperhomocysteinemia, and elevated serum creatinine.
Conclusions:
- Patients surviving the acute phase of stroke face substantially increased long-term mortality.
- Monitoring creatinine, homocysteine, and hemoglobin levels post-stroke is recommended for improved patient management.
Background:
Stroke is one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide. Understanding the risk factors associated with stroke mortality is important to improve patient management. Few studies have examined long-term mortality and its associated predictive risk factors.
Methods:
We examined long-term mortality in 1137 patients with acute stroke and compared it to a geographically age- and sex-matched, stroke-free control group. We followed the stroke patients for as long as 16.4 years. In 1018 of these patients we assessed the effect of demographic, clinical, and hematological factors on mortality.
Results:
At the end of the study period, 51.7% of the patients and 32.7% of the stroke-free control individuals had died (hazard ratio 2.2, confidence interval 1.9-2.5, P < .001). A total of 72.5% of the patients and 53% of the controls with 12 years' follow-up (n = 570) had died (P < .001). Regression analyses indicate that, in addition to known risk factors such as age, diabetes, and stroke severity, both low cholesterol (P < .001) and hemoglobin (P < .002), hyperhomocysteinemia (P = .005), and elevated serum creatinine (P < .001) at index stroke are associated with increased long-term mortality.
Conclusions:
Stroke patients surviving the first year after stroke have a markedly increased mortality rate as seen in long-term follow-up. Furthermore, the results from this study indicate that changes in creatinine, homocysteine, and hemoglobin should be followed more carefully as standard practice after acute stroke.
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