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Prognostic factors in patients with malignant pleural effusion: Is it possible to predict mortality in patients with
Fernando Conrado Abrao1, Renata D'Alpino Peixoto2, Igor Renato Louro Bruno de Abreu1
1Department of Thoracic Surgery of Hospital São José, São Paulo, Brazil.
Background And Objectives:
The aim of this study was to identify predictors of mortality only in patients with malignant pleural effusion (MPE) showing good performance status which required pleural palliative procedures.
Methods:
All patients with MPE submitted to pleural palliative procedure were enrolled in a prospective study between 2013 and 2014. Patients with Eastern cooperative oncology group (ECOG) score zero, one, and two were considered with good performance status. The possible prognostic factors were tested for significance using the log-rank test (Kaplan-Meier method) and those with significance on univariate analysis were entered into a multivariable Cox model.
Results:
A total of 64 patients were included in the analysis. Median follow-up time for surviving patients was 263 days. Median survival for the entire cohort was not reached yet. In the multivariate analysis, gastrointestinal primary site (P = 0.006), low albumin concentration in the pleural fluid (P = 0.017), and high serum NLR (P = 0.007) were associated with mortality.
Conclusion:
In our cohort of ECOG 0-2 patients with MPE submitted to pleural palliative procedures, gastrointestinal malignancy compared to other sites, low pleural fluid albumin and high NLR were significantly associated with mortality. The identification of these prognostic factors may assist the choice of the optimal palliative technique. J. Surg. Oncol. 2016;113:570-574. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Insights
Predictors of mortality in malignant pleural effusion (MPE) patients with good performance status were identified. Gastrointestinal primary site, low pleural fluid albumin, and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were associated with increased mortality risk.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Palliative Care
- Thoracic Surgery
Background:
- Malignant pleural effusion (MPE) impacts patient prognosis.
- Identifying mortality predictors in MPE patients with good performance status is crucial for guiding palliative care.
- Patients undergoing pleural palliative procedures require accurate prognostic information.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine predictors of mortality in patients with MPE and good performance status (ECOG 0-2) undergoing palliative procedures.
- To identify factors influencing survival in this specific patient group.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study of 64 MPE patients undergoing pleural palliative procedures (2013-2014).
- Patients classified by Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (0-2).
- Prognostic factors analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression models.
Main Results:
- Gastrointestinal primary malignancy was significantly associated with mortality (P=0.006).
- Low albumin concentration in pleural fluid correlated with increased mortality risk (P=0.017).
- High serum neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was a significant predictor of mortality (P=0.007).
Conclusions:
- Gastrointestinal origin of MPE, low pleural fluid albumin, and high NLR are significant mortality predictors in ECOG 0-2 patients.
- These findings can aid in selecting optimal palliative interventions for MPE patients.
- Prognostic factor identification supports personalized palliative care strategies.
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