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Plasma urate concentration and risk of coronary heart disease: a Mendelian randomisation analysis
Jon White1, Reecha Sofat2, Gibran Hemani3
1UCL Genetics Institute, University College, London, UK.
Insights
High plasma urate levels are linked to coronary heart disease risk. Mendelian randomization analyses suggest a potential causal role for urate, but further investigation is needed to confirm this link.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology
- Genetic Epidemiology
- Metabolic Health
Background:
- Elevated plasma urate concentration is associated with increased coronary heart disease (CHD) risk.
- The causal relationship between urate and CHD remains uncertain.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal role of plasma urate in the development of coronary heart disease using Mendelian randomization (MR).
Main Methods:
- Performed a meta-analysis of observational studies on urate and CHD risk.
- Utilized conventional, multivariable, and Egger Mendelian randomization analyses with 31 urate-associated SNPs.
- Accounted for potential pleiotropy through multivariable and MR-Egger approaches.
Main Results:
- Observational meta-analysis showed a 1.07 odds ratio (OR) for CHD per 1 SD increase in urate.
- Conventional MR yielded an OR of 1.18, multivariable MR an OR of 1.10, and MR-Egger an OR of 1.05 per 1 SD urate increase.
- Estimates varied, with MR-Egger suggesting a potentially null causal effect due to accounting for pleiotropy.
Conclusions:
- Mendelian randomization analyses suggest a causal link between urate and coronary heart disease development.
- Potential pleiotropy may inflate conventional and multivariate MR estimates.
- MR-Egger analysis, while less powerful, indicates a possible lack of a causal effect, warranting further research to prioritize urate-lowering interventions.
Background:
Increased circulating plasma urate concentration is associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease, but the extent of any causative effect of urate on risk of coronary heart disease is still unclear. In this study, we aimed to clarify any causal role of urate on coronary heart disease risk using Mendelian randomisation analysis.
Methods:
We first did a fixed-effects meta-analysis of the observational association of plasma urate and risk of coronary heart disease. We then used a conventional Mendelian randomisation approach to investigate the causal relevance using a genetic instrument based on 31 urate-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). To account for potential pleiotropic associations of certain SNPs with risk factors other than urate, we additionally did both a multivariable Mendelian randomisation analysis, in which the genetic associations of SNPs with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides were included as covariates, and an Egger Mendelian randomisation (MR-Egger) analysis to estimate a causal effect accounting for unmeasured pleiotropy.
Findings:
In the meta-analysis of 17 prospective observational studies (166 486 individuals; 9784 coronary heart disease events) a 1 SD higher urate concentration was associated with an odds ratio (OR) for coronary heart disease of 1·07 (95% CI 1·04-1·10). The corresponding OR estimates from the conventional, multivariable adjusted, and Egger Mendelian randomisation analysis (58 studies; 198 598 individuals; 65 877 events) were 1·18 (95% CI 1·08-1·29), 1·10 (1·00-1·22), and 1·05 (0·92-1·20), respectively, per 1 SD increment in plasma urate.
Interpretation:
Conventional and multivariate Mendelian randomisation analysis implicates a causal role for urate in the development of coronary heart disease, but these estimates might be inflated by hidden pleiotropy. Egger Mendelian randomisation analysis, which accounts for pleiotropy but has less statistical power, suggests there might be no causal effect. These results might help investigators to determine the priority of trials of urate lowering for the prevention of coronary heart disease compared with other potential interventions.
Funding:
UK National Institute for Health Research, British Heart Foundation, and UK Medical Research Council.
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