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Plasminogen activator inhibitor and the risk of cardiovascular disease: The Framingham Heart Study
G H Tofler1, J Massaro2, C J O'Donnell3
1Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney University, Australia.
Insights
Plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) and tissue plasminogen activator (TPA) levels predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals without prior CVD. Serial increases in PAI-1 further elevate CVD risk, highlighting the role of fibrinolysis.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Hematology
- Biochemistry
Background:
- Plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) is a key regulator of fibrinolysis.
- Its independent predictive value for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals without prior CVD remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether PAI-1 predicts CVD risk in individuals without a history of CVD.
- To assess the predictive value of tissue plasminogen activator (TPA) antigen.
- To determine the impact of serial changes in PAI-1 on CVD risk.
Main Methods:
- Plasma PAI-1 and TPA antigen levels were measured in 3203 subjects without prior CVD.
- Follow-up averaged 10 years, with PAI-1 remeasured after 4 years.
- Statistical analyses included hazard ratios and C statistic assessment.
Main Results:
- Elevated PAI-1 and TPA levels were significantly associated with incident CVD (p<0.001).
- After adjusting for conventional risk factors, higher PAI-1 and TPA quartiles showed increased CVD risk (HRs up to 2.6 and 2.9, respectively).
- Serial increases in PAI-1 were associated with a trend towards increased risk (p=0.050).
Conclusions:
- PAI-1 and TPA antigen levels predict CVD events independently of established risk factors.
- A serial increase in PAI-1 is linked to further elevated CVD risk.
- These findings underscore the significance of fibrinolytic potential in CVD pathogenesis.
Introduction:
Although plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) plays a key regulatory role in fibrinolysis, it has not been clearly shown to independently predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) among individuals without prior CVD. We investigated, in the Framingham Heart Study offspring cohort, whether PAI-1 predicted CVD risk among individuals without prior CVD.
Methods:
Plasma PAI-1 antigen and tissue plasminogen activator (TPA) antigen were measured in 3203 subjects without prior CVD between 1991 and 1995; average follow-up of 10 years. PAI-1 was remeasured 4 years after baseline, to determine the effect of serial change on risk.
Results:
PAI-1 levels (mean ± SD) were 29.1 ng/ml (19.2) versus 22.1 (16.5) for those and without incident CVD; p<0.001, and TPA levels were 12.0 ng/ml (5.7) versus 9.0 (4.7); p<0.001. PAI-1 and TPA antigen levels had a strong unadjusted linear relation with incident CVD (p<0.001). After adjustment for conventional risk factors, the hazard ratios (HRs) for higher quartiles of PAI-1, compared with the lowest, were 1.9, 1.9, 2.6 (linear trend p=0.006), and 1.6, 1.6, 2.9 (p<0.001) for TPA antigen. The adjusted HRs for increasing quartiles of serial change in PAI-1 at 4 years, compared with the lowest, were 0.9, 0.8, 1.3 (p=0.050). C statistic assessment showed that adding PAI-1 or TPA to conventional risk factors resulted in small increases in discrimination and modest reclassification of risk, which was statistically significant for TPA (net reclassification 6.8%, p=0.037) but not PAI-1 (4.8%, p=0.113).
Conclusion:
PAI-1 and TPA antigen levels are predictive of CVD events after accounting for established risk factors. A serial increase in PAI-1 is associated with a further increase in risk. These findings support the importance of fibrinolytic potential in CVD.
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