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Causal competition based on generic priors.

Derek Powell1, M Alice Merrick1, Hongjing Lu2

  • 1Department of Psychology, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.

Cognitive Psychology
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

People exhibit cue competition, underestimating moderate causes when strong ones are present. This occurs even with independent events, supporting sparse and strong causal models in human learning.

Keywords:
Bayesian modelsCausal learningCue competitionGeneric priorsSimplicity

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Science
  • Psychology
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Human learning often involves complex, multi-causal environments.
  • Cognitive limitations can hinder the acquisition of accurate causal models.
  • A preference for simple, efficient causal representations is hypothesized.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate cue competition in human causal learning.
  • To determine if independently occurring causes compete.
  • To test predictions of sparse and strong causal models.

Main Methods:

  • Three experiments were conducted.
  • Participants made judgments of causal strength.
  • Independent generative and preventive causes were manipulated.

Main Results:

  • Cue competition was observed for both generative and preventive causes.
  • The strength of a cause was underestimated when a stronger, uncorrelated cause was present.
  • Findings support the existence of competition between independent causes.

Conclusions:

  • Human causal learning exhibits cue competition, even for independent causes.
  • Results align with theories favoring sparse and strong causal models.
  • The study provides data for computational models of complex causal inference.