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Updated: Mar 25, 2026

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
Dynamic Antarctic ice sheet during the early to mid-Miocene
Edward Gasson1, Robert M DeConto2, David Pollard3
1Climate System Research Center, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003; egw.gasson@gmail.com.
Early to mid-Miocene Antarctic ice sheet variability, equivalent to 30-36 m sea level change, is now simulated. This resolves a long-standing conflict between climate models and geological data for this period.
Area of Science:
- Paleoclimatology
- Glaciology
- Earth System Science
Background:
- Geological records show significant Antarctic ice sheet volume and extent fluctuations during the early to mid-Miocene.
- Simulating these changes is challenging due to ice sheet hysteresis and limited proxy data for atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To simulate large-scale variability of the early to mid-Miocene Antarctic ice sheet.
- To reconcile discrepancies between climate models and geological data regarding Miocene ice sheet and sea level changes.
Main Methods:
- Employed a novel climate-ice sheet coupling method with a high-resolution atmospheric model to capture ice sheet-climate feedbacks.
- Incorporated ice-cliff failure and ice-shelf hydrofracture mechanisms into the ice sheet model for realistic retreat dynamics.
- Utilized isotope-enabled climate and ice sheet models to account for changes in oxygen isotopic composition.
Main Results:
- Successfully simulated Antarctic ice sheet variability equivalent to a 0.52-0.66‰ seawater oxygen isotope shift.
- Modeled sea level equivalent changes ranged from 30-36 meters.
- Achieved these simulations with atmospheric CO2 concentrations between 280 and 500 ppm under varying astronomical configurations.
Conclusions:
- The advanced modeling approach resolves the conflict between model simulations and geological data for Miocene Antarctic ice sheet and sea level variability.
- This study provides a more accurate representation of past climate dynamics and their impact on global sea levels.
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