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Published on: November 28, 2018
Echocardiographic predictors of outcomes in adults with aortic stenosis
Romain Capoulade1, Florent Le Ven1, Marie-Annick Clavel1
1Institut Universitaire de Cardiologie et de Pneumologie de Québec/Québec Heart & Lung Institute, Laval University, Québec City, Québec, Canada.
Insights
Echocardiographic parameters of left ventricular (LV) systolic function, specifically LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and stroke volume index (SVi), are key predictors of mortality in aortic stenosis (AS). Stenosis severity parameters do not predict overall mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Echocardiography
- Cardiac Imaging
Background:
- Aortic stenosis (AS) is a significant cardiovascular condition.
- Accurate prediction of mortality in AS patients is crucial for timely intervention.
- Echocardiography plays a vital role in assessing AS severity and cardiac function.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive value of echocardiographic parameters for mortality in patients with AS.
- To determine whether left ventricular (LV) systolic function or AS severity parameters are stronger predictors of mortality.
- To investigate the role of LV systolic function in risk stratification for AS.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1065 consecutive patients with AS was studied.
- Patients were followed for a median of 5.7 years.
- Outcomes included aortic valve replacement, composite events, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality.
Main Results:
- Echocardiographic parameters of AS severity (VPeak, MG, AVA) strongly predicted valve-related events.
- Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and stroke volume index (SVi) were the primary echocardiographic predictors of mortality.
- After multivariable adjustment, LVEF and SVi remained significant independent predictors of mortality, while VPeak and MG did not.
Conclusions:
- Low LVEF and low flow (low SVi) are the most powerful echocardiographic predictors of mortality in AS.
- AS severity parameters predict valve-related events but not overall mortality.
- Integrating low flow parameters into risk stratification and treatment decisions for AS patients is recommended.
Objective:
The study purpose was to assess the usefulness of echocardiographic parameters of aortic stenosis (AS) severity and left ventricular (LV) systolic function to predict mortality in AS. The main hypothesis is that parameters of LV systolic function are the most important independent predictors of mortality, whereas parameters of stenosis severity are not.
Methods:
1065 consecutive patients with AS referred to the echocardiography laboratory and meeting the inclusion/exclusion criteria were included and followed during 5.7 years. The end points were aortic valve replacement (AVR) (n=584), composite of AVR or death (n=932), all-cause mortality (n=550) and cardiovascular mortality (n=398).
Results:
The most powerful echocardiographic predictors of valve-related events were parameters of AS severity, such as peak aortic jet velocity (VPeak), mean gradient (MG) and aortic valve area (AVA) (all p<0.001). Regarding mortality, the main predictors were LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and stroke volume index (SVi) (p<0.05). After multivariable adjustment, LVEF (p<0.001) and SVi (p=0.02) remained the only echocardiographic predictors of mortality, even after adjustment for symptomatic status. AVA was also associated with mortality, whereas VPeak and MG were not.
Conclusions:
The most powerful echocardiographic predictors of mortality are low LVEF and low flow, whereas AS severity parameters predict valve-related events but not overall mortality. Hence, low flow should be integrated in the risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making in patients with AS.
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