Seasonal Incidence of Emergent Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Surgery

Jimmy T Efird1, William Fenner Griffin2, Stephen W Davies3

  • 11. East Carolina Heart Institute, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 2.Center for Health Disparities, Brody School of Medicine, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 3. The College of Nursing, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC. jimmy.efird@stanfordalumni.org.

Insights

Emergent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery incidence shows seasonal variation, peaking in late winter. This finding aids hospital resource planning and offers insights into coronary artery disease etiology.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Surgery
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Severe coronary artery disease (CAD) refractory to traditional management necessitates emergent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
  • Understanding temporal patterns in emergent CABG incidence is crucial for healthcare management and etiological research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate potential seasonal variations in the occurrence of emergent CABG.
  • To test the hypothesis of a seasonal pattern in severe CAD requiring urgent surgical intervention.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 270 emergent CABG cases over 5939 days at a cardiovascular institute.
  • Application of a sinusoidal logistic regression model to identify cyclic trends in operative data.

Main Results:

  • A statistically significant peak in the risk for emergent CABG was identified in late winter (day 66).
  • Odds ratios indicated increased risk in the 1, 2, and 3-month windows surrounding the winter peak, with significant P-values for the 2-month window.

Conclusions:

  • The study suggests a seasonal variation in the incidence of severe CAD requiring emergent CABG.
  • Findings are valuable for optimizing hospital resource allocation and staff scheduling.
  • Identified seasonal patterns may provide etiological insights into CAD, potentially guiding future therapeutic strategies.
Abstract

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