Changing etiologies and outcome of liver failure in Southwest China

The prognosis of liver failure depends greatly on the underlying cause, and there were few data about the prognosis, etiologies or trigger factors of liver failure in China based on long-term and large samples cohorts.

We screened out 3171 liver failure cases from 25467 patients hospitalized in our department between 2000 and 2012 according to Chinese criteria, and determined their etiologies and prognosis.

97.3 % cases were associated with at least one of 25 identified factors. The 3 leading etiologies were HBV (91.6 %), alcohol (18.1 %) and antiviral therapy (AVT) related hepatitis B flares (6.7 %). Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) accounted for 92.1 % of all cases. 96.5 % ACLF cases were associated with HBV, in which the percentage of AVT related flares increased from 0 % in 2000 up to 11.5 % in 2012, and hepatitis virus superinfection declined from peak 19.3 % in 2002 down to 2.5 % in 2012. Three-month spontaneous survival (SS) rate of 3171 cases was 31.4 %, but improved from 17.4 % in 2000 up to 40.4 % in 2012. SS was significantly different among various etiological groups (P = 0.000). In HBV related liver failure aged 25 to 54 years, males accounted for 87.6 %, and had a progressively decreased SS with increasing age. From 25 to 54 years, SS was lower in male than in female HBV related liver failure, and having significant difference in cases of ages 40 to 44 years (27.6 % versus 50.9 %, P = 0.001).

Etiologies of liver failure were numerous and varied in southwest China. HBV was the most leading cause of liver failure, especially in ACLF. AVT related flares had become the third leading cause of ACLF. The prognosis of liver failure remained poor, but had markedly improved in recently 3 years. Middle-aged male HBsAg carriers had an extremely higher risk for liver failure and worse prognosis compared to female. 1. Etiologies of liver failure were numerous and varied in southwest China. HBV infection is the main cause of liver failure in southwest China, especially the major cause of ACLF. Antiviral related liver failure, especially the NUCs withdrawal induced ACLF were extremely increased, which has replaced the superinfection as the third important cause of HBV-ACLF. 2. The prognosis of liver failure is still poor, but the spontaneous survival rate showed a trend of steady rise in recent years. The prognosis of patients with liver failure caused by different causes also exists certain difference, the more damage factors bulls the worse prognosis. 3. The prognosis of the HBV and HCV reactivation induced by the steroids was poor.Interferon treatment of CHB in ACLF although rare, but should be taken into consideration seriously. 4. Patients with liver failure caused by different etiologies showed larger differences of gender and age distribution. Gender and age are the important factors with the occurrence and prognosis of HBV-ACLF.