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TRACTABLE DIFFUSION AND COALESCENT PROCESSES FOR WEAKLY CORRELATED LOCI.

Paul A Jenkins1, Paul Fearnhead2, Yun S Song3

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Summary

This study introduces new, simplified multilocus population genetic models. These models, a diffusion and a coalescent process, offer closed-form solutions and capture key properties of existing complex models for large recombination rates.

Keywords:
couplingdiffusionpopulation geneticsrecombinationsampling distribution

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Area of Science:

  • Population genetics
  • Mathematical biology
  • Evolutionary genetics

Background:

  • The Wright-Fisher diffusion and Kingman's coalescent are standard multilocus population genetics models.
  • Existing models lack closed-form sampling distributions and are computationally intensive.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To derive new, simplified multilocus population genetic models.
  • To develop models that are computationally tractable while retaining key properties of existing models.
  • To provide closed-form solutions for sampling distributions.

Main Methods:

  • Derivation of a new diffusion model using a central limit theorem for density-dependent processes.
  • Development of a new coalescent process via probabilistic coupling of the ancestral recombination graph.
  • Analysis of sampling distributions as asymptotic expansions in inverse powers of the recombination parameter.

Main Results:

  • The new diffusion model yields a sampling distribution as a linear combination of Gaussian moments, providing a closed-form solution.
  • The new coalescent process simplifies the dynamics of the ancestral recombination graph.
  • The derived models agree with standard models up to the second order for large recombination rates.

Conclusions:

  • The new models offer significant computational advantages over existing multilocus population genetics models.
  • These simplified models accurately approximate complex dynamics, particularly for large recombination rates.
  • The closed-form solutions facilitate theoretical and empirical applications in population genetics research.