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Changes in the Leading Cause of Death: Recent Patterns in Heart Disease and Cancer Mortality
Insights
Heart disease remains the leading cause of death in the U.S., but cancer mortality is increasing, especially in certain states and demographic groups. The gap between heart disease and cancer deaths has fluctuated over time.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Cardiovascular Disease Research
Background:
- Heart disease has historically been the leading cause of death in the United States.
- Cancer has been the second leading cause of death for decades.
- Trends in mortality burden for heart disease and cancer have varied over time and across populations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze changes in the mortality burden of heart disease and cancer in the U.S.
- To examine trends in leading causes of death by state, race, and Hispanic origin.
- To highlight shifts in the ranking of heart disease and cancer as causes of death.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the National Vital Statistics System.
- Analyzed mortality statistics for heart disease and cancer.
- Compared leading causes of death across different states and demographic groups over time.
Main Results:
- Heart disease remained the leading cause of death overall in 2014, but the gap with cancer narrowed and widened periodically.
- Cancer surpassed heart disease as the leading cause of death in 22 states by 2014, up from 2 states in 2000.
- Cancer became the leading cause of death for non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander and Hispanic populations, while heart disease remained leading for non-Hispanic white and black populations.
Conclusions:
- While heart disease is still the leading cause of death nationally, cancer's mortality burden is increasing significantly in specific regions and populations.
- The leading cause of death is dynamic and varies considerably by geographic location and demographic characteristics.
- Continued monitoring of cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality trends is crucial for public health interventions.
Key Findings:
Data from the National Vital Statistics System •Heart disease has consistently been the leading cause of death in the United States and remained so in 2014. •The gap between the number of heart disease and cancer deaths generally widened from 1950 through 1968, narrowed from 1968 through 2012, and then slightly widened again from 2012 through 2014. •The mortality burden of cancer has surpassed that of heart disease in several states. In 2000, there were only 2 states where cancer was the leading cause of death; in 2014, there were 22. •Heart disease remained the leading cause of death for the non-Hispanic white and non-Hispanic black populations in 2014. •Cancer is now the leading cause of death for the non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander and Hispanic populations. The timing of the leading-cause crossover varied by group. For the total U.S. population, heart disease has been the leading cause of death for decades, with cancer the second leading cause (1). However, the ranking of these causes has varied across demographic group and geographic unit over time. Rankings are based on the number of deaths and reflect mortality burden rather than risk of death (2). This report highlights changes in the mortality burden of heart disease and cancer and presents findings by state, race, and Hispanic origin.
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