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Published on: August 5, 2016
Missing link between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults
Janet Watt1, David Ponce2, Tom Parsons2
1U.S. Geological Survey, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.
The Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults in the San Francisco Bay Area are directly connected, increasing seismic hazard. This connection could trigger a magnitude 7.4 earthquake, posing significant risks.
Area of Science:
- Geophysics
- Seismology
- Earthquake Science
Background:
- The San Francisco Bay Area faces significant seismic risk from major faults.
- The relationship between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults beneath San Pablo Bay was previously unknown.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the subsurface connection between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults.
- To assess the seismic hazard implications of their geometric relationship.
Main Methods:
- Detailed subsurface imaging techniques were employed.
- Geophysical interpretation and kinematic modeling were integrated.
Main Results:
- Definitive evidence of active faulting along the Hayward fault in San Pablo Bay was found.
- The Hayward fault was observed bending towards the Rodgers Creek fault, indicating a direct surface connection.
- A simultaneous rupture scenario of both faults could lead to a magnitude 7.4 earthquake.
Conclusions:
- The Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults are directly connected at the surface.
- This direct connection has significant implications for earthquake dynamics and seismic hazard in the region.
- A potential M7.4 earthquake resulting from simultaneous rupture could cause widespread devastation and economic impact.
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