What Pertussis Mortality Rates Make Maternal Acellular Pertussis Immunization Cost-Effective in Low- and

Louise B Russell1, Sri Ram Pentakota2, Cristiana Maria Toscano3

  • 1Department of Economics and Institute for Health, New Brunswick.

Insights

Maternal acellular pertussis (aP) vaccination could save infant lives in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, it is only cost-effective if the vaccine price is low, below $1-$2 per dose, according to common benchmarks.

Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Vaccinology
  • Health Economics

Background:

  • Pertussis (whooping cough) remains a significant cause of infant mortality in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite existing vaccination programs.
  • A new monovalent acellular pertussis (aP) vaccine for maternal administration is under development to protect young infants.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the infant pertussis mortality rates at which maternal aP vaccination would be a cost-effective public health intervention in LMICs.
  • To assess the economic viability of maternal immunization strategies compared to routine infant vaccination alone.

Main Methods:

  • A decision-analytic model was employed to evaluate cost-effectiveness in Bangladesh, Nigeria, and Brazil.
  • Sensitivity analyses explored the impact of varying maternal aP vaccine prices and different cost-effectiveness benchmarks (e.g., GDP per capita per DALY).

Main Results:

  • Achieving cost-effectiveness for maternal aP immunization generally requires higher infant pertussis mortality rates than currently observed, except under specific conditions.
  • Low vaccine prices (e.g., $0.50/dose) and high-end cost-effectiveness benchmarks are crucial for demonstrating economic value.
  • For instance, in Nigeria, a mortality rate of 0.018 per 1000 infants is needed at $0.50/dose to meet the 0.5 GDP per capita per DALY benchmark.

Conclusions:

  • Maternal aP immunization is likely to be cost-effective in many LMICs only if the vaccine price is maintained below $1-$2 per dose.
  • The economic feasibility is highly dependent on vaccine pricing and the chosen cost-effectiveness threshold.
Abstract