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Bogen's Critique of Linear-No-Threshold Default Assumptions
Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|December 14, 2016
Summary
The linear, nonthreshold (LNT) model
Area of Science:
- Radiation protection and toxicology
- Risk assessment methodologies
- Dose-response modeling
Background:
- Critique of the National Research Council's (NRC) recommendations for applying linear, nonthreshold (LNT) dose-response models.
- Discussion of arguments for LNT: additivity to background (AB) and substantial interindividual heterogeneity in susceptibility (SIH).
- Identification of potential flaws in Bogen's critique and arguments.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide a general proof confirming Bogen's claim that SIH can be false.
- To analyze the implications of SIH and AB on nonthreshold dose-response assessments.
- To address inaccuracies and misleading statements in Bogen's critique.
Main Methods:
- Mathematical proof to demonstrate the conditions under which SIH can be false.
- Analysis of how SIH can lead to nonthreshold population distributions.
- Theoretical examination of the relationship between low-dose linearity and higher-dose responses.
Main Results:
- A general proof confirms that substantial interindividual heterogeneity in susceptibility (SIH) can be false.
- SIH can result in nonthreshold population distributions even with threshold-based individual responses.
- Small changes in SIH assumptions can lead to linear, nonthreshold (LNT) outcomes.
- Critique of the additivity to background (AB) argument's limitations in determining applicability.
- Identification of several incorrect or misleading statements in Bogen's article.
Conclusions:
- The study validates Bogen's assertion regarding the potential falsity of SIH.
- It highlights that SIH can drive nonthreshold dose-response findings.
- The paper also refutes specific points made by Bogen, suggesting inaccuracies in his critique of LNT assumptions.
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