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Updated: Mar 9, 2026

Cholesterol Efflux Assay
Published on: March 6, 2012
Cholesterol paradox: a correlate does not a surrogate make
1The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA.
Insights
The global effort to reduce cholesterol has not curbed heart disease. New evidence suggests the cholesterol hypothesis may be flawed, questioning its role in cardiovascular disease prevention.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Metabolic Diseases
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- The global strategy to lower cholesterol via diet and medication has not effectively reduced the rising rates of coronary heart disease worldwide.
- While some attribute this failure to increasing obesity and diabetes, an alternative explanation is the potential inaccuracy of the cholesterol hypothesis itself.
Purpose of the Study:
- To critically review the evidence challenging the cholesterol hypothesis.
- To examine the implications of recent clinical trial data, such as the ACCELERATE trial, on the validity of targeting cholesterol for cardiovascular disease prevention.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing scientific literature and clinical trial data.
- Analysis of the ACCELERATE trial results concerning evacetrapib's effect on lipid levels and cardiovascular outcomes.
- Perspective piece synthesizing evidence that questions the cholesterol hypothesis.
Main Results:
- The ACCELERATE trial showed no cardiovascular benefit from evacetrapib, despite significant alterations in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.
- This trial adds to a body of evidence that casts doubt on the cholesterol hypothesis and the use of cholesterol as a surrogate endpoint.
- The focus on cholesterol may have inadvertently contributed to the cardiovascular disease pandemic.
Conclusions:
- The cholesterol hypothesis, which links lower cholesterol to reduced cardiovascular disease, faces significant challenges from recent data.
- The utility of cholesterol levels as a surrogate endpoint for cardiovascular risk is questionable.
- There is a need to re-evaluate current strategies for preventing coronary heart disease in light of contradictory evidence.
Abstract:
The global campaign to lower cholesterol by diet and drugs has failed to thwart the developing pandemic of coronary heart disease around the world. Some experts believe this failure is due to the explosive rise in obesity and diabetes, but it is equally plausible that the cholesterol hypothesis, which posits that lowering cholesterol prevents cardiovascular disease, is incorrect. The recently presented ACCELERATE trial dumbfounded many experts by failing to demonstrate any cardiovascular benefit of evacetrapib despite dramatically lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and raising high-density lipoprotein cholesterol in high-risk patients with coronary disease. This clinical trial adds to a growing volume of knowledge that challenges the validity of the cholesterol hypothesis and the utility of cholesterol as a surrogate end point. Inadvertently, the cholesterol hypothesis may have even contributed to this pandemic. This perspective critically reviews this evidence and our reluctance to acknowledge contradictory information.
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