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Applicability of bacterial growth models in spreadable processed cheese
Dorota Weiss1, Anna Kaczmarek1, Jerzy Stangierski1
1Department of Food Quality Management, Poznań University of Life Sciences, Poland.
Microbiological growth models, including the Baranyi and Roberts model, showed poor reliability in predicting changes in spreadable processed cheese. These models did not accurately forecast bacterial dynamics, limiting their use for shelf-life prediction.
Area of Science:
- Food Science
- Microbiology
- Predictive Modeling
Background:
- Food spoilage reduces quality and edibility due to bacterial growth and metabolites.
- Bacterial proliferation is a key factor limiting the shelf life of processed cheese products.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the reliability of microbiological growth models for predicting bacterial changes in spreadable processed cheese.
- Evaluate the predictive accuracy of models for total viable count (TVC) and Clostridium in processed cheese.
Main Methods:
- Investigated bacterial growth (TVC and Clostridium) at 8°C, 20°C, and 30°C.
- Utilized standard microbiological procedures and the Baranyi and Roberts primary model with nonlinear regression analysis.
Main Results:
- The Baranyi and Roberts model achieved a 70% determination coefficient for TVC at 20°C and 30°C.
- Models for Clostridium showed low reliability (R² of 25% and 30%) at these temperatures.
- Shelf life decreased significantly at higher temperatures (70 days at 20°C, 7 days at 30°C).
- At 8°C, bacterial counts decreased over the shelf life for both TVC and Clostridium.
Conclusions:
- The Baranyi and Roberts and nonlinear regression models demonstrated poor agreement with experimental data for processed cheese.
- These predictive models are not considered reliable tools for forecasting microbiological changes in this product.
- Despite limitations, the models provided insights into the dynamics of microbial proliferation in spreadable processed cheese.
Related Concept Videos
Bacterial Growth Curve
Methods for Controlling Microbial Growth
Microbial Growth Measurement: Indirect Methods
Microbial Growth Measurement: Direct Methods
Exponential Growth
Physical Methods for Controlling Microbial Growth: Temperature

