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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
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Assessing long-term prognosis improvement as a consequence of treatment pattern changes in MS
Ruggero Capra1, Cinzia Cordioli1, Sarah Rasia1
1Multiple Sclerosis Center, Spedali Civili di Brescia, Montichiari Hospital, Montichiari, Italy/University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy.
Summary
Newer multiple sclerosis (MS) treatments appear to delay disability progression. Patients diagnosed after 2000 reached key disability milestones at older ages, suggesting improved long-term outcomes for MS patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurological disease characterized by progressive disability.
- The introduction of novel disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) has altered the treatment landscape for MS.
- Assessing the long-term impact of these therapies on disability progression is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if the age at which multiple sclerosis patients reach Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) milestones has changed.
- To evaluate the potential impact of new MS drugs on disability progression over time.
- To investigate changes in the age of reaching EDSS milestones in relation to diagnosis periods.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of data from 1324 MS patients over 30 years.
- Comparison of the age at reaching EDSS=6 between different diagnosis periods.
- Multivariate Cox regression model adjusting for age at diagnosis and interval between EDSS visits.
Main Results:
- Patients diagnosed in more recent periods (post-2000) reached EDSS=6 at a significantly older age.
- A 37% reduction in the rate of reaching EDSS=6 for patients diagnosed in 2001-2005 (HR=0.63, p=0.05).
- A 46% reduction in the rate of reaching EDSS=6 for patients diagnosed in 2006-2010 (HR=0.54, p<0.02).
Conclusions:
- A significant modification in the course of MS has been observed since 2000.
- This modification is potentially linked to evolving treatment patterns and the availability of new MS therapies.
- Therapeutic advancements may contribute to delaying disability progression in multiple sclerosis patients.
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