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Updated: Mar 7, 2026

Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification on Non-gated Computed Tomography Scans
Published on: August 28, 2018
Coronary artery calcium score as a predictor for incident stroke: Systematic review and meta-analysis
Kongkiat Chaikriangkrai1, Hye Yeon Jhun2, Ghanshyam Palamaner Subash Shantha1
1University of Iowa Hospital: Heart and Vascular Center, United States.
Insights
Coronary artery calcium score (CACS) predicts stroke risk in asymptomatic individuals. Higher CACS indicates increased stroke incidence, even in those without known heart disease.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Neurology
- Radiology
Background:
- Coronary artery calcium score (CACS) is used for cardiovascular risk stratification.
- Its predictive value for incident stroke is debated.
- This study assesses CACS from non-contrast ECG-gated CT for stroke prediction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive capability of CACS for incident stroke.
- To determine if CACS can identify stroke risk in asymptomatic individuals.
- To analyze the association between CACS severity and stroke incidence.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases.
- Inclusion of prospective longitudinal studies reporting CACS and stroke incidence.
- Meta-analysis of stroke incidence in patients with and without coronary calcification.
Main Results:
- Analysis of 13,262 asymptomatic patients followed for a median of 5 years.
- Pooled stroke incidence was 0.26% per year.
- CACS > 0 was associated with a 2.95-fold increased risk of incident stroke (p<0.001).
- Stroke incidence increased with CACS severity: 0.12% (CACS 0) to 0.70% (CACS ≥400).
Conclusions:
- Stroke incidence is low in asymptomatic individuals without apparent cardiovascular disease.
- Presence and severity of coronary artery calcification are linked to future stroke risk.
- CACS is a valuable tool for identifying stroke risk in this population.
Background:
Coronary artery calcium score (CACS) is a well-established test for risk stratifying asymptomatic patients for overall cardiovascular or coronary events. However; the prognostic value for incident stroke remains controversial. The objective of this study was to investigate the predictive value of CACS obtained by non-contrast electrocardiogram-gated computed tomography for incident stroke.
Methods:
We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane databases for prospective longitudinal studies of CACS which reported the incidence of stroke. Incidence of stroke was compared in patients with and without coronary calcification.
Results:
Three studies evaluated 13,262 asymptomatic patients (mean age=60years, 50% men) without apparent cardiovascular diseases. During a follow-up of 7.2years (median 5years, range 4.4-9.5years, 95,434patient-years), the overall pooled incidence of stroke was 0.26%/year. The pooled risk ratio of CACS>0 for incident stroke was 2.95 (95% CI: 2.18-4.01, p<0.001) compared to CACS=0. The heterogeneity among studies was low (I2=0%). The pooled incidence rate of stroke categorized by CACS was 0.12%/year for CACS 0, 0.26%/year for CACS 1-99, 0.41%/year for CACS 100-399 and 0.70%/year for CACS ≥400.
Conclusions:
In asymptomatic patients without apparent cardiovascular diseases, the incidence of stroke was overall low. The presence and severity of coronary artery calcification were associated with incident stroke over mid-long term follow-up.
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