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Estimating Preferences for Complex Health Technologies: Lessons Learned and Implications for Personalized Medicine
Deborah A Marshall1, Juan Marcos Gonzalez2, Karen V MacDonald1
1Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Estimating the value of whole-genome sequencing (WGS) presents challenges due to its complex results. This study addresses uncertainty and downstream consequences to better assess genomic testing value.
Area of Science:
- Health economics
- Genomic medicine
- Decision science
Background:
- Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) offers extensive genetic information but presents challenges in value assessment.
- WGS results include actionable, clinically valid but not yet actionable, and unknown significance findings.
- Assessing WGS value is complicated by incidental findings unrelated to the initial health concerns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine study design challenges in estimating the value of whole-genome sequencing (WGS).
- To propose solutions for key challenges in valuing complex genomic tests.
- To inform the economic evaluation of other advanced health technologies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized stated-preference methods, including contingent valuation and discrete-choice experiments.
- Conceptualized WGS decision-making as sequential choices.
- Elicited preferences for risk reduction and consequences of health interventions.
Main Results:
- Identified three key challenges: layers of uncertainty, endogenous downstream consequences, and mixed utility of test information.
- Developed strategies to address these design challenges in valuing WGS.
- Demonstrated a framework for evaluating complex health technologies with inherent uncertainties.
Conclusions:
- Stated-preference methods can be adapted to value complex genomic tests like WGS.
- Addressing uncertainty and downstream effects is crucial for accurate value estimation.
- The study provides insights for valuing other multi-faceted health technologies.
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