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Updated: Mar 6, 2026

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Published on: June 6, 2025
Predictors of Long-term Opioid Use Following Lumbar Fusion Surgery
Joseph Connolly1,2, Zulqarnain Javed2, Mukaila A Raji1,2,3,4
1U.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH.
Pre-existing opioid use, undergoing revision surgery, and depression significantly increase the risk of long-term opioid use after lumbar fusion. Identifying these risk factors can help clinicians manage pain and prevent opioid dependence post-surgery.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Pain Management
- Public Health
Background:
- Opioid prescriptions for low back pain have surged.
- Long-term opioid use post-lumbar fusion lacks comprehensive risk factor analysis in large national studies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors for long-term opioid use following lumbar spinal fusion.
- To analyze these factors in a nationally representative cohort of commercially insured adults.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 8377 adults undergoing lumbar fusion (2009-2012).
- Defined long-term opioid use as ≥365 days of filled prescriptions within 24 months post-surgery.
- Used multivariable logistic regression to determine adjusted odds ratios (ORs).
Main Results:
- Pre-surgery opioid duration, revision surgery, and depression diagnosis were associated with increased long-term opioid use.
- Anterior fusion was linked to a decreased risk of long-term opioid use.
- Significant ORs were reported for pre-surgery opioid use quartiles, refusion, and depression.
Conclusions:
- Findings offer valuable insights for physicians and patients regarding opioid dependence risks after lumbar fusion.
- Highlights the importance of pre-operative opioid use assessment and patient history in managing post-surgical pain.
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