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Predicting Ideological Prejudice.

Mark J Brandt1

  • 1Department of Social Psychology, Tilburg University.

Psychological Science
|April 11, 2017
PubMed
Summary
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Researchers developed a new quantitative model to predict the size of ideological prejudice. This model, focusing on perceived target ideology, proved more accurate than previous approaches.

Area of Science:

  • Social Psychology
  • Political Science
  • Quantitative Modeling

Background:

  • Current models of ideological prejudice accurately predict the direction but not the magnitude of prejudice.
  • A quantitative gap exists in predicting the specific size of the association between ideology and prejudice.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and test quantitative models capable of predicting the size of the ideology-prejudice association.
  • To compare the predictive accuracy of a model based on perceived target ideology against models using perceived status and group choice.

Main Methods:

  • A quantitative model was developed using a representative sample of Americans (N = 4,940) with perceived target ideology as the primary predictor.
  • The model was tested across four additional studies (total N = 2,093) by comparing its predictions against observed ideology-prejudice associations.
Keywords:
ideologyintergroup dynamicsopen dataopen materialsprejudicepreregisteredstereotyped attitudes

Related Experiment Videos

  • Alternative models utilizing perceived target status and choice of group membership were also tested for comparison.
  • Main Results:

    • The model incorporating perceived target ideology as the sole predictor demonstrated the highest parsimony.
    • This perceived ideology model exhibited the smallest prediction errors when compared to observed ideology-prejudice associations.
    • Models based on perceived status and group choice were less accurate in predicting the size of the ideology-prejudice relationship.

    Conclusions:

    • Perceived ideology of target groups is a crucial and parsimonious predictor for the size of ideological prejudice.
    • The developed quantitative model offers a significant advancement in predicting the magnitude of prejudice, addressing a key limitation in existing theories.
    • This research provides a more precise tool for understanding and potentially mitigating ideological prejudice.