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Predicting students' happiness from physiology, phone, mobility, and behavioral data.

Natasha Jaques1, Sara Taylor1, Asaph Azaria1

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Machine learning models can predict student happiness with 70% accuracy using daily data on wellbeing, behavior, and physiology. This research may help identify students at risk for depression.

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Area of Science:

  • Computational social science
  • Affective computing
  • Machine learning applications in mental health

Background:

  • Student wellbeing is crucial, with happiness linked to mental health outcomes like depression.
  • Understanding factors influencing student happiness can inform targeted interventions.
  • Previous research has explored digital data for mental health monitoring, but comprehensive models for student happiness are developing.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate machine learning models for predicting undergraduate students' self-reported happiness.
  • To identify key behavioral and physiological factors associated with daily fluctuations in student happiness.
  • To explore the potential of happiness modeling for early detection of depression risk.

Main Methods:

  • Collected multi-modal data from undergraduate students over one month, including physiological signals, location, smartphone logs, and daily surveys.
  • Utilized machine learning techniques, including Gaussian Mixture Models and ensemble classification, for predictive modeling.
  • Employed feature selection methods to identify significant predictors of happiness.

Main Results:

  • Achieved 70% classification accuracy in predicting self-reported happiness on unseen test data.
  • Identified specific behavioral factors, such as sleep patterns and social activity, as significant influences on happiness.
  • Demonstrated the feasibility of using integrated data sources for robust happiness prediction.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning models can effectively predict student happiness using diverse data streams.
  • The study highlights the potential for digital phenotyping in mental health research and early intervention.
  • Further research can refine these models to better support student mental wellbeing and identify at-risk individuals.