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Published on: July 30, 2011
Pancreatic β-Cell Function and Prognosis of Nondiabetic Patients With Ischemic Stroke
Yuesong Pan1, Weiqi Chen1, Jing Jing1
1From the Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital (Y.P., W.C., J.J., H.Z., Q.J., H.L., X.Z., L.L., Yongjun Wang, Yilong Wang) and Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health (Y.P., Y.H.), Capital Medical University, China; China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing (Y.P., W.C., J.J., H.Z., Q.J., H.L., X.Z., L.L., Yongjun Wang, Yilong Wang); Center of Stroke, Beijing Institute for Brain Disorders, China (Y.P., W.C., J.J., H.Z., Q.J., H.L., X.Z., L.L., Yongjun Wang, Yilong Wang); Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine for Cerebrovascular Disease, China (Y.P., W.C., J.J., H.Z., Q.J., H.L., X.Z., L.L., Yongjun Wang, Yilong Wang); and Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, China (Y.P., Y.H.).
Background And Purpose:
Pancreatic β-cell dysfunction is an important factor in the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus. This study aimed to estimate the association between β-cell dysfunction and prognosis of nondiabetic patients with ischemic stroke.
Methods:
Patients with ischemic stroke without a history of diabetes mellitus in the ACROSS-China (Abnormal Glucose Regulation in Patients with Acute Stroke across China) registry were included. Disposition index was estimated as computer-based model of homeostatic model assessment 2-β%/homeostatic model assessment 2-insulin resistance based on fasting C-peptide level. Outcomes included stroke recurrence, all-cause death, and dependency (modified Rankin Scale, 3-5) at 12 months after onset.
Results:
Among 1171 patients, 37.2% were women with a mean age of 62.4 years. At 12 months, 167 (14.8%) patients had recurrent stroke, 110 (9.4%) died, and 184 (16.0%) had a dependency. The first quartile of the disposition index was associated with an increased risk of stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.57; 95% confidence interval, 2.13-5.99) and dependency (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.21-4.38); both the first and second quartiles of the disposition index were associated with an increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio, 5.09; 95% confidence interval, 2.51-10.33; adjusted hazard ratio, 2.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-5.03) compared with the fourth quartile. Using a multivariable regression model with restricted cubic spline, we observed an L-shaped association between the disposition index and the risk of each end point.
Conclusions:
In this large-scale registry, β-cell dysfunction was associated with an increased risk of 12-month poor prognosis in nondiabetic patients with ischemic stroke.
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