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Effects of Maternal Work Incentives on Teen Drug Arrests
Hope Corman1, Dhaval Dave2, Ariel Kalil3
1Rider University and NBER.
Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research
|October 10, 2017
Summary
Welfare reform in the United States did not significantly impact drug arrests among teenagers. This analysis of youth drug arrests between 1990 and 2005 found no conclusive evidence of a causal link.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Public Policy
- Sociology
Background:
- Welfare reform in the U.S. aimed to alter family dynamics, including maternal employment and income.
- Understanding the impact of such policy changes on youth behavior is crucial for public health and safety.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the causal effect of welfare reform implementation on drug-related arrests among adolescents.
- To analyze these effects during the period of welfare reform unfolding in the U.S. (1990-2005).
Main Methods:
- Utilized monthly arrest data from the FBI's Uniform Crime Reports for individuals aged 15-17.
- Employed a difference-in-differences (DD) approach to compare outcomes across states and over time, exploiting variations in welfare reform implementation.
Main Results:
- Findings indicate no statistically significant effect of welfare reform on drug arrests for teenagers.
- Most model specifications showed a small, non-significant positive trend (approximately 3%) in arrests.
Conclusions:
- The study examined how a major policy shift influenced youth drug arrests.
- Results suggest that broad welfare policy changes did not substantially alter adolescent drug arrest rates during the study period.
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