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Published on: April 17, 2021
Silent Myocardial Infarction and Long-Term Risk of Heart Failure: The ARIC Study
Waqas T Qureshi1, Zhu-Ming Zhang2, Patricia P Chang3
1Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Cardiology, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston Salem, North Carolina.
Insights
Silent myocardial infarction (SMI) increases heart failure (HF) risk, similar to clinically manifested myocardial infarction (CMI). Early detection and preventive therapies for SMI are crucial for HF risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Silent myocardial infarction (SMI) constitutes approximately 50% of all myocardial infarctions (MIs).
- The association between SMI and the subsequent risk of heart failure (HF) remains incompletely understood.
- Understanding SMI's impact on HF is critical for comprehensive cardiovascular risk management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between SMI and clinically manifested myocardial infarction (CMI) with the risk of developing heart failure (HF).
- To compare the HF risk in patients with SMI and CMI against individuals with no history of MI.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 9,243 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study, initially free of cardiovascular disease.
- SMI defined by electrocardiographic evidence without clinical symptoms between baseline and ARIC visit 4.
- Ascertainment of HF events from ARIC visit 4 until 2010, with a median follow-up of 13.0 years.
Main Results:
- Both SMI and CMI were associated with a significantly higher incidence rate of HF compared to no MI (16.2 and 30.4 vs. 7.8 per 1,000 person-years, respectively).
- Adjusted analyses revealed SMI (HR: 1.35) and CMI (HR: 2.85) independently increased HF risk.
- The association between SMI and HF risk was more pronounced in younger individuals (<53 years).
Conclusions:
- Silent myocardial infarction (SMI) is a significant independent risk factor for heart failure (HF).
- Further research should explore the cost-effectiveness of screening for SMI in HF risk assessments.
- Identifying targeted preventive therapies for patients with SMI is essential to mitigate HF risk.
Background:
Although silent myocardial infarction (SMI) accounts for about one-half of the total number of myocardial infarctions (MIs), the risk of heart failure (HF) among patients with SMI is not well established.
Objectives:
The purpose of this study was to examine the association of SMI and clinically manifested myocardial infarction (CMI) with HF, as compared with patients with no MI.
Methods:
This analysis included 9,243 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline (ARIC visit 1: 1987 to 1989). SMI was defined as electrocardiographic evidence of MI without CMI after the baseline until ARIC visit 4 (1996 to 1998). HF events were ascertained starting from ARIC visit 4 until 2010 in individuals free of HF before that visit.
Results:
Between ARIC visits 1 and 4, 305 SMIs and 331 CMIs occurred. After ARIC visit 4 and during a median follow-up of 13.0 years, 976 HF events occurred. The incidence rate of HF was higher in both CMI and SMI participants than in those without MI (incidence rates per 1,000 person-years were 30.4, 16.2, and 7.8, respectively; p < 0.001). In a model adjusted for demographics and HF risk factors, both SMI (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.35; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02 to 1.78) and CMI (HR: 2.85; 95% CI: 2.31 to 3.51) were associated with increased risk of HF compared with no MI. These associations were consistent in subgroups of participants stratified by several HF risk predictors. However, the risk of HF associated with SMI was stronger in those younger than the median age (53 years) (HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.00 to 2.75 vs. HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 0.85 to 1.66, respectively; overall interaction p by MI type <0.001).
Conclusions:
SMI is associated with an increased risk of HF. Future research is needed to examine the cost effectiveness of screening for SMI as part of HF risk assessment, and to identify preventive therapies to improve the risk of HF among patients with SMI.
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