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Dependence among randomly acquired characteristics on shoeprints and their features
Naomi Kaplan Damary1, Micha Mandel1, Sarena Wiesner2
1Department of Statistics, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 91905 Jerusalem, Israel.
Forensic Science International
|January 12, 2018
Summary
Randomly acquired characteristics (RACs) on shoe soles are not independent. Their features and patterns are interconnected, complicating forensic analysis and rarity evaluation in shoe print comparisons.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Science
- Pattern Analysis
- Probabilistic Methods
Background:
- Randomly acquired characteristics (RACs), or accidental marks like scratches and holes on shoe soles, are crucial for forensic shoe print comparison.
- The evidential value of a shoe print relies on the rarity of its RACs.
- Evaluating RAC rarity typically assumes independence between RAC features and the sole pattern.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the interrelationships among RAC features: location, shape type, and orientation.
- To determine if RACs and their features are independent of each other and the shoe sole pattern.
- To assess the impact of these relationships on probabilistic calculations in forensic shoe print analysis.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a dataset comprising approximately 380 shoes.
- Statistical investigation of correlations between RAC features (location, shape, orientation).
- Examination of the dependency of RACs and their features on the shoe sole pattern.
Main Results:
- RACs and their features (location, shape, orientation) are not independent.
- Significant dependencies exist between RACs, their features, and the shoe sole pattern.
- Sole elements contribute to observed dependencies between RACs and their features.
Conclusions:
- The assumption of independence for RACs and their features is invalid in forensic shoe print analysis.
- Dependencies among RAC features and sole patterns complicate direct probabilistic rarity calculations.
- Forensic experts must account for these interdependencies when evaluating the evidential weight of shoe print comparisons.
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