The predictive value of arterial and valvular calcification for mortality and cardiovascular events

Rachel Nicoll1,2, Michael Y Henein1,2

  • 1Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine and Heart Centre, Umea University, Umea, Sweden.

Insights

Arterial and valvular calcification predict mortality and coronary heart disease, especially mitral calcification. However, non-calcified plaques in acute coronary syndrome question calcification

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Vascular Biology
  • Medical Imaging

Background:

  • Arterial and valvular calcification are increasingly recognized as indicators of cardiovascular risk.
  • Previous studies suggest a link between calcification and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To review the predictive ability of arterial and valvular calcification for mortality and coronary heart disease.
  • To assess the role of calcification in acute coronary syndrome and stroke prediction.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic review of existing literature on arterial and valvular calcification.
  • Analysis of predictive value across different patient populations (asymptomatic, symptomatic, high-risk).

Main Results:

  • Calcification in multiple locations, particularly mitral annular calcification, has an additive effect on predicting mortality and coronary heart disease.
  • While calcification presence, extent, and progression associate with cardiovascular events, this association weakens when adjusting for calcification in other arterial beds.
  • Culprit plaques in acute coronary syndrome are typically not calcified, questioning the causal role of calcification.
  • Carotid and intracranial artery calcification show limited predictive ability for stroke.

Conclusions:

  • Arterial and valvular calcification, especially mitral annular calcification, are significant predictors of cardiovascular events and mortality.
  • The predictive value of calcification may be confounded by other factors or non-causal, particularly in acute coronary syndromes.
  • Calcification's role in stroke prediction is less clear, with limited predictive ability in carotid and intracranial arteries.

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