Related Experiment Video
Updated: Feb 14, 2026

Building a Better Mosquito: Identifying the Genes Enabling Malaria and Dengue Fever Resistance in A. gambiae and A. aegypti Mosquitoes
Published on: July 4, 2007
[Application of ARIMA model on prediction of malaria incidence]
Xia Jing1, Zhang Hua-Xun1, Lin Wen1
1Institute of Schistosomiasis Control, Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430079, China.
Objective:
To predict the incidence of local malaria of Hubei Province applying the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA).
Methods:
SPSS 13.0 software was applied to construct the ARIMA model based on the monthly local malaria incidence in Hubei Province from 2004 to 2009. The local malaria incidence data of 2010 were used for model validation and evaluation.
Results:
The model of ARIMA (1, 1, 1) (1, 1, 0)12 was tested as relatively the best optimal with the AIC of 76.085 and SBC of 84.395. All the actual incidence data were in the range of 95% CI of predicted value of the model. The prediction effect of the model was acceptable.
Conclusions:
The ARIMA model could effectively fit and predict the incidence of local malaria of Hubei Province.
Related Concept Videos
Prevalence and Incidence
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
Predicting Molecular Geometry
Types of Reports II: Incident or Occurrence Report
Purposes:
In the healthcare industry, reports play a crucial role in documenting incidents within an agency. The primary objective of these reports is to ensure patient safety, uphold the...
Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predicted Value
Sensitivity is the...
End Point Prediction: Gran Plot
For potentiometric titration, the Gran plot is created by plotting...

