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Explaining variation in antibiotic prescribing between general practices in the UK.
Koen B Pouwels1,2,3, F Christiaan K Dolk1,2, David R M Smith1
1Modelling and Economics Unit, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London NW9 5EQ, UK.
Antibiotic prescribing rates in England vary significantly between primary care practices. Patient comorbidities do not fully explain these differences; consultation rates and corticosteroid prescribing are more influential factors for antibiotic use.
Area of Science:
- General Practice
- Infectious Diseases
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Antibiotic prescribing rates exhibit considerable variation across primary care practices in England.
- Prescribers often attribute high prescribing rates to individual patient case mix, including comorbidities.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the extent to which patient comorbidities explain the observed variation in antibiotic prescribing rates among English primary care practices.
- To identify other key factors influencing antibiotic prescribing variations.
Main Methods:
- Utilized primary care consultation and antibiotic prescribing data from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database for 2013.
- Employed Boosted Regression Trees (BRTs) and Negative Binomial Regression (NBR) models to assess associations between predictors and prescribing rates.
- Included variables such as infection-related consultation rates, comorbidity prevalence, corticosteroid/immunosuppressive drug use, and demographics.
Main Results:
- The median antibiotic prescribing rate was 65.6 per 100 patients across 348 practices.
- Consultation rates (53.5%) and steroid/immunosuppressive drug use (31.6%) were the most influential factors in the BRT model, with comorbidities explaining only 12.2%.
- Models incorporating all variables explained 57% of the deviance, compared to 21% for models considering only comorbidities, age, and gender.
Conclusions:
- Variation in patient comorbidities does not account for the majority of practice-level differences in antibiotic prescribing.
- High rates of respiratory tract infection consultations and corticosteroid prescribing are significant contributors to prescribing variation.
- These findings suggest focusing on consultation patterns and steroid prescribing may be key to reducing antibiotic use in primary care.
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