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Classifying dynamic transitions in high dimensional neural mass models: A random forest approach.

Lauric A Ferrat1,2,3,4, Marc Goodfellow1,2,3,4, John R Terry1,2,3,4

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This study introduces a statistical framework using random forests to explore how parameters affect neural mass model (NMM) dynamics. The method efficiently maps parameter spaces, revealing the inhibitory sub-system

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Area of Science:

  • Computational neuroscience
  • Systems neuroscience
  • Mathematical biology

Background:

  • Neural mass models (NMMs) are vital for understanding brain rhythms but face challenges in high-dimensional parameter space exploration.
  • Classical methods like numerical continuation are insufficient for characterizing NMM dynamics across numerous parameters.
  • Efficiently linking NMM parameters to emergent dynamics is crucial for both health and disease research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a statistical framework for efficiently exploring the relationship between NMM parameters and their emergent dynamics.
  • To enable the characterization of dynamics in high-dimensional parameter spaces of NMMs.
  • To assess the relative importance of various parameters in influencing NMM dynamics.

Main Methods:

  • A statistical framework combining tree-based methods and random forests was developed.
  • Simulations were used to create a database, transforming the mathematical model into a data-driven resource.
  • Random forests partitioned parameter space based on dynamic features, enabling rapid exploration and identification of transitions.

Main Results:

  • The framework efficiently explores high-dimensional parameter spaces of NMMs.
  • It accurately identifies approximate locations of qualitative dynamic transitions.
  • Analysis of a seizure dynamics model highlighted the critical role of the inhibitory sub-system and previously overlooked parameters.

Conclusions:

  • The introduced statistical framework offers an efficient method for exploring NMM parameter spaces.
  • It aids in understanding the mechanisms underlying brain rhythms and transitions to pathological states like seizures.
  • This approach facilitates more efficient, person-specific calibration of NMMs by constraining high-dimensional parameter spaces.