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Related Concept Videos

Confidence Coefficient01:24

Confidence Coefficient

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The confidence coefficient is also known as the confidence level or degree of confidence. It is the percent expression for the probability, 1-α, that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter assuming that the confidence interval is obtained after sufficient unbiased sampling; for example, if the CL = 90%, then in 90 out of 100 samples the interval estimate will enclose the true population parameter. Here α is the area under the curve, distributed equally under...
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Confidence Intervals01:21

Confidence Intervals

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An unbiased point estimate is often insufficient to predict a population estimate, such as population mean or population proportion. In this scenario, a confidence interval is used. A confidence interval is an estimate similar to a  sample proportion. However, unlike the point estimate which is a single value, the confidence interval  contains a range of values. These values have lower and upper limits, known as confidence limits, and can be designated as L1 and L2, respectively.
A...
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Interpretation of Confidence Intervals01:19

Interpretation of Confidence Intervals

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A confidence interval is a better estimate of the population than a point estimate, as it uses a range of values from a sample instead of a single value.
Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.
Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can...
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Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals00:54

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

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The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
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Muscles that Move the Arm01:31

Muscles that Move the Arm

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Nine muscles are involved in arm movements. Two of these, the pectoralis major and latissimus dorsi, originate from the axial skeleton and are called axial muscles. The other seven originate from the scapula and are called the scapular muscles.
The pectoralis major has two origins. Its clavicular head originates on the medial half of the clavicle. In contrast, the sternocostal head originates on the costal cartilages of ribs 1-6, the sternum, and the aponeurosis of the external oblique of the...
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Confidence Interval for Estimating Population Mean01:25

Confidence Interval for Estimating Population Mean

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A point estimate of the population mean is obtained from a single sample. Such a point estimate does not represent a population well because it needs to account for variability in the population. Single point estimate can also be biased despite the sample being selected randomly. Thus, a point estimate is often unreliable. A confidence interval is needed to reduce this unreliability.
A confidence interval for the mean is a range of values that provides an estimate of the population mean. As the...
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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Feb 13, 2026

Testing Animal Anxiety in Rats: Effects of Open Arm Ledges and Closed Arm Wall Transparency in Elevated Plus Maze Test
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Testing Animal Anxiety in Rats: Effects of Open Arm Ledges and Closed Arm Wall Transparency in Elevated Plus Maze Test

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Anytime Exploration for Multi-armed Bandits using Confidence Information.

Kwang-Sung Jun1, Robert Nowak1

  • 1Wisconsin Institutes for Discovery, UW-Madison, 330 N. Orchard St., Madison, WI 53715 USA.

JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings
|March 16, 2018
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

We introduce anytime Explore-m, a new multi-armed bandit problem requiring top-m arm predictions at every step. AT-LUCB is the first algorithm to solve this, offering competitive performance and practical application for unpredictable budgets.

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Area of Science:

  • Machine Learning
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Optimization

Background:

  • Multi-armed bandit (MAB) problems are crucial for sequential decision-making under uncertainty.
  • Existing top-m arm identification in MAB often relies on fixed budgets or confidence levels, limiting practical application.
  • Many real-world scenarios involve finite, unpredictable resource constraints, necessitating adaptive algorithms.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce the anytime Explore-m problem, a more practical formulation for identifying top-m arms in MAB.
  • To develop and analyze the first nontrivial algorithm, AT-LUCB (AnyTime Lower and Upper Confidence Bound), capable of solving the anytime Explore-m problem.
  • To evaluate the performance and sample complexity of AT-LUCB against existing methods.

Main Methods:

  • Formulation of the anytime Explore-m problem, emphasizing prediction at every time step.
  • Development of the AT-LUCB algorithm, a novel approach based on lower and upper confidence bounds.
  • Theoretical analysis of AT-LUCB's sample complexity.
  • Empirical evaluation comparing AT-LUCB with state-of-the-art baseline algorithms.

Main Results:

  • AT-LUCB is presented as the first provably correct algorithm for the anytime Explore-m problem.
  • The sample complexity of AT-LUCB is shown to be competitive with anytime variants of existing MAB algorithms.
  • Empirical results demonstrate that AT-LUCB performs comparably to or better than current state-of-the-art methods.

Conclusions:

  • The anytime Explore-m problem offers a more practical approach to top-m arm identification in MAB settings with unpredictable budgets.
  • AT-LUCB is a significant advancement, providing a theoretically sound and empirically effective solution.
  • AT-LUCB demonstrates strong performance, making it a valuable tool for applications requiring continuous top-m arm identification.