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An ice sheet model validation framework for the Greenland ice sheet.

Stephen F Price1, Matthew J Hoffman1, Jennifer A Bonin2

  • 1Los Alamos National Laboratory, MS B216, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA.

Geoscientific Model Development
|April 27, 2018
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

A new Cryospheric Model Comparison Tool (CmCt) framework uses satellite data to validate ice sheet models. Gravimetry data effectively distinguishes model performance, unlike ambiguous altimetry data, highlighting CmCt

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Area of Science:

  • Glaciology
  • Climate Science
  • Computational Modeling

Background:

  • Ice sheet models are crucial for predicting sea-level rise.
  • Validating these models against observational data is essential but challenging.
  • Existing validation methods may not fully capture model performance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce a novel ice sheet model validation framework, the Cryospheric Model Comparison Tool (CmCt).
  • To evaluate the utility of altimetry and gravimetry data for model assessment.
  • To compare the performance of dynamic and conceptual ice sheet models for Greenland.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) and two idealized models for Greenland simulations.
  • Forced CISM with reanalysis surface mass balance and observed glacier flux changes (1991-2013).
  • Developed and applied qualitative and quantitative metrics using satellite altimetry and gravimetry data.

Main Results:

  • Altimetry data proved ambiguous in distinguishing between different model simulations.
  • Both dynamic and conceptual models showed similar surface elevation representations (<1 m difference).
  • Gravimetry data unambiguously differentiated model complexity and performance, providing a quantitative assessment score.

Conclusions:

  • The CmCt framework and proposed metrics can effectively differentiate between better and worse ice sheet model simulations.
  • Gravimetry data offers a powerful tool for quantitative ice sheet model validation.
  • Dynamic ice sheet models demonstrate predictive skill when properly initialized and forced, validated by CmCt.