Identification of Children's BMI Trajectories and Prediction from Weight Gain in Infancy

Anne Bichteler1, Elizabeth T Gershoff1

  • 1Department of Human Development and Family Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA.

Insights

Infant weight gain, not just birth weight, predicts childhood BMI trajectories. Early rapid weight gain increases the risk for higher BMI, especially in African American children.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Health
  • Growth and Development
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Childhood obesity is a growing concern with complex developmental pathways.
  • Understanding Body Mass Index (BMI) trajectories from infancy through adolescence is crucial for early intervention.
  • Early life factors significantly influence long-term health outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify distinct Body Mass Index (BMI) change patterns during childhood (24 months to 13 years).
  • To determine if demographic factors, birth weight, and infant weight gain predict these BMI trajectories.
  • To develop risk algorithms for identifying children at risk for specific BMI patterns.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized longitudinal data from the Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development (N=1364).
  • Employed latent growth modeling to analyze BMI change trajectories across multiple time points.
  • Used logistic regression to predict trajectory class membership based on early life factors.

Main Results:

  • Identified distinct BMI trajectory groups, with 'high-rising' and 'low-to-high' groups exhibiting the highest BMI in middle childhood.
  • Birth weight and infant weight gain were significant predictors of BMI trajectory membership, outperforming gender and race/ethnicity.
  • Infant weight gain independently predicted high-rising BMI trajectories, even after accounting for birth weight.
  • African American children showed lower birth weight, faster infant weight gain, and increased odds of belonging to rising BMI trajectories.

Conclusions:

  • Clinicians should monitor infant weight gain independently of birth weight to identify potential risks.
  • Further research is needed to understand the long-term physiological impacts of rapid early-life weight gain.
  • Early identification of rapid infant weight gain can inform interventions to mitigate risks for childhood obesity.
Abstract

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