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Simulation of patient flow in multiple healthcare units using process and data mining techniques for model
Sergey V Kovalchuk1, Anastasia A Funkner1, Oleg G Metsker1
1ITMO University, Saint Petersburg, Russia.
This study introduces a hybrid simulation approach using data-driven methods to model patient flow, enhancing accuracy for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patient care pathways. The method improves simulation realism and length-of-stay predictions.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare Systems Engineering
- Computational Health Informatics
- Simulation Modeling
Background:
- Accurate simulation of patient flow is crucial for optimizing healthcare operations and resource allocation.
- Existing simulation methods may lack the detail and realism needed for complex clinical pathways.
- Electronic Health Records (EHRs) contain rich data for improving simulation model accuracy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a hybrid simulation approach for patient flow modeling.
- To automate model identification using data-driven techniques.
- To enhance the realism and detail of patient flow simulations, specifically for acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
Main Methods:
- Combined data mining, text mining, process mining, and machine learning for EHR analysis.
- Utilized discrete-event simulation (DES) and queueing theory for patient flow simulation.
- Developed a hybrid model implemented in Python using SimPy and SciPy libraries.
Main Results:
- Successfully simulated patient flow for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) cases.
- Identified distinct clinical pathways (CPs) from EHR data to enhance simulation realism.
- Experimental study demonstrated improved accuracy in simulating patient length of stay.
Conclusions:
- The proposed hybrid simulation approach provides a robust framework for modeling complex patient flows.
- The methodology enables more realistic and detailed simulations for various healthcare applications, including decision-making and operational optimization.
- This approach offers a conceptual, methodological, and programming foundation for diverse simulation scenarios.
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