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Estimation versus falsification approaches in sport and exercise science
Michael Wilkinson1, Edward M Winter2
1a Department of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences , Northumbria University , Newcastle-upon-Tyne , England.
Magnitude-based inference (MBI) offers a superior estimation approach for sport and exercise science compared to null hypothesis significance testing (NHST). MBI better addresses "how much x influences y" questions by quantifying effect sizes and uncertainty.
Area of Science:
- Sport and Exercise Science
- Statistical Inference
Background:
- Debates on statistical inference methods often overlook philosophical underpinnings and their alignment with scientific goals.
- Sport and exercise science frequently addresses
- influence-of-x-on-y
- questions, requiring robust inferential approaches.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare estimation (Magnitude-Based Inference - MBI) and falsification (Null Hypothesis Significance Testing - NHST) statistical approaches.
- To evaluate the suitability of these methods for sport and exercise science research, particularly for quantifying effects and assessing measurement error.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of MBI and NHST frameworks.
- Application of these methods to typical sport and exercise science research questions, including effect size estimation and method agreement.
Main Results:
- Falsification and NHST have limited value in addressing the nuances of sport and exercise science problems.
- Estimation approaches, specifically MBI, are more effective for quantifying the magnitude of effects and their uncertainty.
Conclusions:
- Adopting an estimation approach, such as MBI, is recommended for sport and exercise science.
- Expressing uncertainty in effect sizes and evaluating practical/clinical value against pre-defined magnitudes using MBI enhances scientific rigor.
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