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Nurse Generated EHR Data Supports Post-Acute Care Referral Decision Making: Development and Validation of a Two-step
Kathryn H Bowles1,2, Sarah J Ratcliffe1, Mary D Naylor1
1University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA.
A new clinical decision support (CDS) algorithm accurately predicts the need for and destination of post-acute care (PAC) referrals using electronic health record (EHR) data, aiming to improve patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Health Informatics
- Clinical Decision Support Systems
- Healthcare Management
Background:
- Discharge planning (DP) involves complex decisions regarding post-acute care (PAC) referrals.
- Current methods for PAC referral decisions can be subjective and variable.
- Accurate and timely PAC referrals are crucial for patient recovery and reducing hospital readmissions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a clinical decision support (CDS) algorithm for optimizing PAC referral decisions.
- To determine the appropriate site of care for patients requiring PAC.
- To reduce subjectivity and variation in discharge planning.
Main Methods:
- Utilized electronic health record (EHR) data to create case studies.
- Engaged 171 interdisciplinary experts to judge case studies and inform model development.
- Generated prediction models to support referral decisions.
Main Results:
- A two-step algorithm was developed and validated.
- Achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 91.5% for predicting the need for referral (yes/no).
- Achieved an AUC of 89.7% for determining the appropriate site of PAC.
Conclusions:
- The validated CDS algorithm effectively supports discharge referral decision-making using EHR data.
- Automating assessment through CDS can identify high-need patients earlier.
- This approach has the potential to decrease hospital readmissions and adverse events.
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