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Study of the Population Dynamics of Busseola fusca, Maize Pest
Janvier Pesser Ntahomvukiye1,2,3,4, Anatole Temgoua2,4, Samuel Bowong5,6,7
1Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, University of Burundi, PO Box 2700, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Abstract:
Busseola fusca is a maize and sorghum pest that can cause significant damage to both crops. Given that maize is one of the main cereals grown in the worldwide, this pest is a major challenge for maize production and therefore for the economies of several countries . In this paper , based on the life cycle of B. fusca, we propose a mathematical model to study the population dynamics of this insect pest . A sensitivity analysis using the eFast method was performed to show the most important parameters of the model. We present the theoretical analysis of the model. More precisely, we derive a threshold parameter [Formula: see text], called basic offspring number and show that the trivial equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable whenever [Formula: see text], while if [Formula: see text], the non trivial equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The theoretical results are supported by numerical simulations.
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