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Personalized Mammography Screening and Screening Adherence-A Simulation and Economic Evaluation.

Matthias Arnold1, Anne S Quante2

  • 1Munich Center of Health Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich, Germany; Institute of Health Economics and Health Care Management, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.

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Nonadherence significantly impacts personalized breast cancer screening effectiveness. Evaluating strategies requires considering actual adherence rates for optimal cost-effectiveness and selection.

Keywords:
Markov modeladherencebreast cancer screeningdecision analysiseconomic evaluationmammographypersonalized medicine

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Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Health Economics
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Personalized breast cancer screening economic evaluations traditionally assume full adherence.
  • Previous studies have not assessed the impact of nonadherence on personalized screening strategy selection.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the economic effects of nonadherence on personalized breast cancer screening strategies.
  • To determine the most cost-effective personalized screening approach considering varying adherence levels.

Main Methods:

  • Developed adherence scenarios based on literature.
  • Utilized a Markov microsimulation model to assess three personalized strategies under different adherence conditions.
  • Conducted probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Main Results:

  • The absolute adherence rate is more critical than the risk-adherence relationship in determining cost-effectiveness.
  • Risk-stratified screening can be more cost-effective than routine screening below a $60,000 willingness-to-pay threshold.
  • Nonadherence alters the comparative performance of different screening strategies.

Conclusions:

  • Nonadherence must be factored into the evaluation and selection of personalized breast cancer screening strategies.
  • Accurate adherence levels are essential for identifying the most effective and cost-efficient screening approach.