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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Early decrease in postoperative serum albumin predicts severe complications in patients with colorectal cancer after
Yong Wang1, Honggang Wang1, Jianguo Jiang1
1Department of General Surgery, Taizhou People's Hospital, Taizhou Clinical Medical College of Nanjing Medical University, Medical School of Nantong University, No.366 Taihu Road, Taizhou, 225300, Jiangsu, China.
The percentage change in serum albumin (∆Alb) is a key predictor of severe complications after colorectal cancer surgery. Monitoring ∆Alb can help identify high-risk patients and improve outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Surgical Gastroenterology
- Clinical Chemistry
Background:
- Severe postoperative complications in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients lead to longer hospital stays, increased costs, and poorer prognoses.
- Identifying reliable risk factors is crucial for managing CRC patients undergoing surgery.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate potential risk factors, specifically serum albumin (Alb) changes, for severe postoperative complications in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.
- To assess the predictive value of the percentage change in preoperative to nadir albumin (∆Alb) for severe complications.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 193 patients with primary CRC undergoing elective laparoscopic colectomy.
- Definition of severe complications as Clavien-Dindo grade III and IV.
- Calculation of ∆Alb as (preoperative Alb - nadir Alb within POD2)/preoperative Alb × 100%.
- Utilized univariate and multivariate logistic regression and ROC curve analysis.
Main Results:
- 19.7% of patients experienced severe postoperative complications.
- ∆Alb emerged as the sole independent risk factor for severe complications (OR 1.66, p=0.003).
- The area under the ROC curve for ∆Alb was 0.916, indicating high predictive accuracy (sensitivity 0.842, specificity 0.858).
Conclusions:
- The percentage change in serum albumin (∆Alb) is a significant independent risk factor for severe complications in CRC patients.
- ∆Alb demonstrates high predictive value for identifying patients at risk of severe postoperative complications after laparoscopic surgery.
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