Incorporating methylation genome information improves prediction accuracy for drug treatment responses

An accumulation of evidence has revealed the important role of epigenetic factors in explaining the etiopathogenesis of human diseases. Several empirical studies have successfully incorporated methylation data into models for disease prediction. However, it is still a challenge to integrate different types of omics data into prediction models, and the contribution of methylation information to prediction remains to be fully clarified.

A stratified drug-response prediction model was built based on an artificial neural network to predict the change in the circulating triglyceride level after fenofibrate intervention. Associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), methylation of selected cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) sites, age, sex, and smoking status, were included as predictors. The model with selected SNPs achieved a mean 5-fold cross-validation prediction error rate of 43.65%. After adding methylation information into the model, the error rate dropped to 41.92%. The combination of significant SNPs, CpG sites, age, sex, and smoking status, achieved the lowest prediction error rate of 41.54%.

Compared to using SNP data only, adding methylation data in prediction models slightly improved the error rate; further prediction error reduction is achieved by a combination of genome, methylation genome, and environmental factors.