Computer-assisted Medical Decision-making System for Diagnosis of Urticaria

Background: Urticaria is a common allergic disease that affects all age groups. Allergic disorders are diagnosed at allergy testing centers using skin tests. Though skin tests are the gold standard tests for allergy diagnosis, specialists are required to interpret the observations and test results. Hence, a computer-assisted medical decision-making (CMD) system can be used as an aid for decision support, by junior clinicians, in order to diagnose the presence of urticaria. Methods: The data from intradermal skin test results of 778 patients, who exhibited allergic symptoms, are considered for this study. Based on food habits and the history of a patient, 40 relevant allergens are tested. Allergen extracts are used for skin test. Ten independent runs of 10-fold cross-validation are used to train the system. The performance of the CMD system is evaluated using a set of test samples. The test samples were also presented to the junior clinicians at the allergy testing center to diagnose the presence or absence of urticaria. Results: From a set of 91 features, a subset of 41 relevant features is chosen based on the relevance score of the feature selection algorithm. The Bayes classification approach achieves a classification accuracy of 96.92% over the test samples. The junior clinicians were able to classify the test samples with an average accuracy of 75.68%. Conclusion: A probabilistic classification approach is used for identifying the presence or absence of urticaria based on intradermal skin test results. In the absence of an allergy specialist, the CDM system assists junior clinicians in clinical decision making.