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Clinical forecasting: Towards a sociology of prognosis
Stefan Timmermans1, Tanya Stivers1
1UCLA, Department of Sociology, USA.
Insights
Pediatric neurologists often communicate a child's seizure prognosis indirectly. They use treatment goals, timelines, and uncertainty to convey future outlooks while maintaining collaboration.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Neurology
- Clinical Communication
- Childhood Illnesses
Background:
- Prognosis understanding often stems from end-of-life care, but is crucial in chronic conditions like childhood epilepsy.
- Families of children with seizures seek clarity on long-term outcomes and potential for seizure remission.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how pediatric neurologists communicate prognosis to families of children with seizures.
- To analyze the communication strategies employed during clinical consultations.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of video recordings of clinic consultations.
- Focus on interactions between pediatric neurologists and families of children with epilepsy.
- Examination of how prognosis is conveyed through dialogue and non-verbal cues.
Main Results:
- Neurologists primarily communicate prognosis indirectly.
- Strategies include setting future goals for the child, defining timelines for goal achievement, and highlighting uncertainties.
- Optimistic framing of goals and timelines aids in maintaining a collaborative physician-family relationship.
Conclusions:
- Indirect communication of prognosis is a key strategy in pediatric neurology for managing chronic conditions.
- Goal-setting and uncertainty management are vital tools for neurologists to foster therapeutic alliances.
- This approach supports families in navigating the complexities of a child's long-term health trajectory.
Abstract:
Much of our understanding of prognosis in clinical settings comes from end-of-life situations but prognostication is also a concern in chronic illnesses. Parents of children living with seizures wonder what the future holds: will the child outgrow their seizures, or will they remain a part of their child's life? Based on video recordings of clinic consultations between pediatric neurologists and families, we examine how clinicians convey a child's prognosis. We find that neurologists mainly communicate the prognosis indirectly through the goals they set for the child, the time frame of attaining these goals, and the uncertainties they highlight regarding the attainability of the goals. By modulating goals and erring on the side of optimism, clinicians maintain a collaborative relationship even if the prognosis turns increasingly dire.
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