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In social interactions, individuals frequently seek to understand the motivations and causes behind others' behaviors. This fundamental aspect of social perception, known as attribution, plays a crucial role in shaping interpersonal relationships and guiding future actions. Attribution refers to the cognitive process through which people infer the reasons behind others' behaviors, allowing them to assess character traits, intentions, and situational influences.Attribution Theory and Its...
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Recent decline in extratropical lower stratospheric ozone attributed to circulation changes.

Krzysztof Wargan1,2, Clara Orbe3, Steven Pawson2

  • 1Science Systems and Applications Inc., Lanham, Maryland, USA.

Geophysical Research Letters
|November 2, 2018
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Ozone levels in the lower stratosphere show declining trends in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, but increasing trends in the Tropics. Enhanced transport between tropical and extratropical regions is identified as the primary driver of these ozone trends.

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Area of Science:

  • Atmospheric Science
  • Ozone Layer Research
  • Stratospheric Dynamics

Background:

  • Ozone trends in the lower stratosphere are crucial for understanding atmospheric changes.
  • Previous analyses have faced limitations in data resolution and attribution.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze ozone trends in the lower stratosphere from 1998-2016.
  • To attribute the observed trends to specific atmospheric processes using reanalysis data.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2) data.
  • Corrected observational biases and employed an idealized tracer in a model simulation.
  • Analyzed ozone trends in Dobson units per decade (DU/decade) across different latitudinal bands.

Main Results:

  • Detected a negative ozone trend of -1.67±0.54 DU/decade (10-km above tropopause) between 20°N and 60°N.
  • Identified a significant negative trend of -1.17±0.33 DU/decade between 50°S and 20°S.
  • Observed a positive ozone trend in a 5-km layer above the tropopause in the Tropics.

Conclusions:

  • Enhanced isentropic transport between tropical and extratropical lower stratosphere drives observed ozone trends.
  • This study is the first to use reanalysis data for detecting and attributing lower stratospheric ozone trends.