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Do the stigmata of recent haemorrhage have additional prognostic value in patients with bleeding duodenal ulcer?
V Garrigues-Gil1, S E Clamp, A G Morgan
1Hospital La Fe, Valencia, Spain.
Abstract:
To assess the additional prognostic value of endoscopic stigmata of recent haemorrhage (SRH) in addition to clinical data, a pilot study was conducted on 207 duodenal ulcer patients from the OMGE survey. The incidence of SRH was compared in 145 patients who settled and 62 who re-bled. Only active bleeding emerged as significantly commoner in the latter group. Two computer-assisted predictions of further bleeding (before and after addition of the stigmata to a clinical database) were compared with the final outcome. Little improvement, in terms of prognosis for further bleeding, was obtained when SRH data were added. Similar findings were observed in a smaller series from Marburg, FRG.
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