Effects of texting on accident risk during a sudden hazardous event: Analysis of predetection and postdetection...

The present study aims to quantify the effects of texting and driver behavior on the accident risk associated with a sudden event. Further, the study attempts to compare the effects of driving behavior of inexperienced young and professional drivers on risk during predetection and postdetection phases of the event.

Forty-nine drivers from 2 categories-inexperienced young drivers and experienced professional drivers-took part in simulated experiments. The participants drove in a free-flow road environment under 3 driving conditions: no distraction (baseline) and writing short and long texts while driving. The participants were exposed to a sudden hazardous event during each drive. Accident probability during the sudden event was modeled with a generalized linear mixed model (with a logit link function).

As expected, both texting tasks increased accident risk, and the risk was much higher for inexperienced young drivers than for professional drivers. Time lapsed in reducing speed increased the odds for accident risk significantly. A comparative analysis of the driver categories showed that impairment in driving behavior due to the texting tasks was similar for both groups during the predetection phase. However, the risk associated with the texting tasks was higher for young drivers during the postdetection phase. A possible reason could be that young drivers had 65% and 75% higher approach speeds (than the professional drivers) during the short and long text tasks, respectively.

The results provide statistical evidence that increased speed is expressed as increased risk-taking behavior among young drivers, which subsequently is the main reason for their higher accident risk during texting tasks. Moreover, the results confirm that professional drivers are not able to mitigate the increased accident risk associated with texting tasks due to late detection of the event during the tasks.