Deep learning for predicting in-hospital mortality among heart disease patients based on echocardiography

Joon-Myoung Kwon1, Kyung-Hee Kim2, Ki-Hyun Jeon2

  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, Mediplex Sejong Hospital, Incheon, Korea.

Insights

A new deep learning (DL) model using echocardiography accurately predicts heart disease (HD) mortality. This advanced model outperforms existing methods, offering a valuable tool for patient screening and initial treatment decisions.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Medical Informatics

Background:

  • Heart disease (HD) is a leading global cause of mortality.
  • Existing HD mortality prediction models have limitations in early screening and initial treatment guidance.
  • There is a need for accurate and accessible prediction tools for critically-ill HD patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a deep learning (DL) based mortality prediction model for heart disease (HD) using echocardiography data.
  • To assess the model's performance in predicting in-hospital mortality among adult HD patients.
  • To compare the DL model's accuracy against established clinical prediction scores.

Main Methods:

  • A multicenter retrospective cohort study involving adult HD patients who underwent echocardiography.
  • Extraction of predictor variables from echocardiography reports utilizing text mining.
  • Development of a DL prediction model using data from Hospital A and external validation with data from Hospital B.
  • Subgroup analysis for coronary heart disease (CHD) and heart failure (HF) patients, comparing DL model performance with GRACE, TIMI, MAGGIC, and GWTG-HF scores.

Main Results:

  • The study included 25,776 patients with 1026 mortalities.
  • The DL model achieved high areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC): 0.912 (internal validation), 0.898 (external validation), 0.958 (CHD), and 0.913 (HF).
  • The DL model significantly outperformed existing prediction models (GRACE, TIMI, MAGGIC, GWTG-HF) in predicting in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions:

  • An echocardiography-based DL model demonstrates superior accuracy in predicting in-hospital mortality for HD patients compared to current models.
  • This DL model offers a promising advancement for early risk stratification and guiding clinical decisions in HD management.
  • The findings highlight the potential of AI and text mining in leveraging echocardiography data for improved cardiovascular outcome prediction.
Abstract

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