Prevalence of Small Intestine Carcinoid Tumors: A US Population-Based Study 2012-2017

Most carcinoid tumors of the gastrointestinal tract are located in the small bowel (SB). Epidemiological studies of these tumors have been limited by small sample sizes. Our aim was to evaluate the epidemiology of SB carcinoids (SBCs) using a large database.

We queried a commercial database (Explorys), an aggregate of electronic health data from 26 US healthcare systems. We identified patients with SBCs between 2012 and 2017. We evaluated the epidemiology of SBC and identified possible risk factors.

Of the 35,798,290 individuals in the database between 2012 and 2017, we identified 3280 patients with SBCs, with a prevalence of 9.2/100,000. Prevalence was higher in men [odds ratio (OR) 1.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.153-1.322, p < 0.0001], whites [OR 2.031, 95% CI 1.872-2.203, p < 0.0001], and elderly (aged > 65) [OR 4.856, 95% CI 4.533-5.203, p < 0.0001]. Patients with SBCs were more likely to have a history of smoking [OR 2.749, 95% CI 2.549-2.970, p < 0.0001], alcohol use [OR 2.031, 95% CI 1.864-2.21, p < 0.0001], obesity (BMI > 30) [OR 3.476, 95% CI 3.213-3.761, p < 0.0001], diabetes mellitus [OR 4.198, 95% CI 3.900-4.519, p < 0.0001], and a family history of cancer [OR 5.902, 95% CI 5.396-6.456, p < 0.0001].

This is one of the largest studies done on the prevalence of SBC. The prevalence of 9.2/100,000 individuals is higher than previously reported. Further genetic and environmental studies are needed to understand the potential mechanisms for the risk factors identified in this study.